Oil Prices Rise as Inflation Threat Eases

Oil benchmark Brent futures breached $80 a barrel for the first time since May on Wednesday after U.S. inflation data suggested the interest rate hike cycle in the world’s biggest economy is set to finally cool.

Data released on Wednesday showed U.S. consumer prices rose modestly in June and registered their smallest annual increase in more than two years as inflation continued to subside.

Markets expect one more interest rate rise, but that the U.S. rate-hiking cycle has likely peaked. Higher rates can slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.

Brent futures were last up 47 cents at $79.87 a barrel, having risen as high as $80.05 earlier. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up 56 cents at $75.39 a barrel.

Meanwhile, forecasts from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) and the International Energy Agency (IEA) point to the market tightening into 2024.

The IEA expects the oil market to stay tight in the second half of 2023, citing strong demand from China and developing countries combined with supply cuts from leading producers. New forecasts from the IEA are expected this week.

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