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Factory, services data boost U.S. growth picture

U.S. services sector activity hit an 8-1/2 year high last month and factory orders surged in June, bolstering expectations of solid economic growth in the third quarter.

Tuesday's reports added to employment and consumer spending data in suggesting sustained momentum in the economy that could bring the Federal Reserve closer to raising interest rates.

The Institute for Supply Management's services index rose to 58.7 last month, the highest level since December 2005, from 56.0 in June. A reading above 50 indicates expansion.

Activity in the sector, which accounts for more than 80% of the U.S. economy, was boosted by a jump in orders, which touched their highest point in nearly nine years.

A sub-index gauging services industry employment also rose as did order backlogs, but export order growth moderated.

In a separate report, the Commerce Department said orders for manufactured goods increased 1.1% in June, more than reversing May's 0.6% decline. Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft - a measure of business confidence and spending plans - hit a record high.

Strong business investment is one of the key ingredients needed for robust economic growth and the surge will be welcomed by Fed officials as they weigh the course of monetary policy.

Interest rate futures now point to a better-then-even chance the U.S. central bank will hike overnight rates in June of next year. It has held them near zero since December 2008.

The data helped lift the U.S. dollar to a 10-1/2-month high against a basket of currencies, while prices for U.S. Treasury debt fell. U.S. stocks fell as retailer Target cut its second-quarter earnings estimate.

A wealth of data have suggested the economy is firing on almost all cylinders. But businesses amassed huge piles of stocks in the second quarter, which they may need to work through before placing more orders.

That could take some edge off growth in the third quarter. The economy grew at a 4% annual pace in the April-June period, and growth estimates for the third quarter are currently around a 3% rate.