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TSX Flat Ahead of BoC Decision

Nvidia, Tesla in Focus

Stocks stumbled out of the gate Monday morning, as investors showed some uncertainty ahead of Wednesday's interest-rate announcement by the Bank of Canada

The TSX Composite Index lost 22.52 to begin Monday at 29,261.30.

The Canadian dollar gained 0.05 cents to 72.26 cents U.S.

Economists anticipate the BoC will cut its overnight rate by a quarter point on Wednesday, as the labour market deteriorates and economic activity weakens. They also expect one more cut next quarter.

The Canadian central bank has maintained its benchmark rate at 2.75% since it was lowered in March.

In corporate news, Brookfield Asset Management is in talks to buy Yes! Communities, a U.S. firm, from the Singaporean sovereign wealth fund GIC for more than $10 billion, the Financial Times said on Sunday.

Brookfield grabbed 95 cents, or 1.2%, to $79.29.

It’s a busy day on the macroeconomic front, with manufacturing sales hiking 2.5% in July, driven primarily by higher sales in the transportation equipment, petroleum and coal product, and primary metal subsectors.

Statistics Canada also reported wholesale sales rose 1.2% to $86.0 billion in July.

The nation’s number crunchers went on to say were 179,814 new motor vehicles sold in Canada in July 2025, increasing 6.8% from July 2024. Sales in dollar terms were up 4.7% over the same period. Gains were observed in both the passenger cars (+11.1%) and trucks (+6.2%) subsegments.

Finally, the Canadian Real Estate Association reported the number of home sales recorded over Canadian MLS® Systems edged up 1.1% on a month-over-month basis in August 2025. It was the best month of August for sales since 2021, and the fifth straight monthly increase in activity, making for a cumulative 12.5% since March.

ON BAYSTREET

The TSX Venture Exchange moved ahead 7.32 points to begin Monday at 886.99.

All but three of the 12 subgroups were negative in the first hour, as telecoms and consumer staples each slid 1.2%, and gold dulled 0.4%.

The three gainers were information technology, up 0.9%, consumer discretionary stocks, ahead 0.2%, and health-care, haler 0.1%.

ON WALLSTREET

Stocks edged higher Monday after President Donald Trump said that U.S.-China trade negotiations were going well. Investors also braced for a key Federal Reserve meeting this week.

The Dow Jones Industrials recovered 67.36 points, to open a new week at 45,901.58.

The S&P 500 progressed 29.67 points to 6,613.96, a new record.

The tech-heavy NASDAQ index gathered 148.09 points to 22,289.17. Top U.S. and Chinese officials for a second day discussed tariff rates and the imminent deadline for a divestment of Chinese-owned social media TikTok.

In a Truth Social post, Trump said the meeting between officials had been positive and that a deal “was also reached on a ‘certain’ company that young people in our Country very much wanted to save,” potentially referring to TikTok. The U.S. will go ahead on its TikTok ban if China does not let go of its demands for reduced tariffs and tech restrictions, Reuters reported on Monday, citing a a senior U.S. official with knowledge of negotiations.

As talks between the countries continued, China’s market regulator said Nvidia violated the country’s anti-monopoly law and that it would continue its probe into the chipmaker. Nvidia shares dropped 1.8%.

Tesla shares jumped 7% after CEO Elon Musk disclosed an insider purchase of the stock worth about $1 billion, his largest buy in the open market ever and his first significant purchase since 2020.

Traders took the buy as a vote of confidence by Musk in the company, which is attempting to turn its focus towards robotics as electric vehicle competition has intensified.

Monday’s gains come after the latest economic data showing a weakening labor market and tame inflation spurred hopes the Fed will cut interest rates when it concludes its meeting on Wednesday.

The market was last pricing in a 96% certainty that the central bank will lower interest rates by a quarter percentage point, with a meager 3.6% likelihood of a steeper half percentage point cut

Prices for 10-year Treasury gained slightly, lowering yields to 4.04% from Friday’s 4.06%. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.

Oil prices pushed higher 71 cents to $63.40 U.S. a barrel.

Gold prices hiked $10.00 to $3,683.50 U.S. an ounce.