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Liberals And Conservatives In Dead Heat Heading Into Federal Election: Poll

A new poll shows the governing Liberals and the main opposition Conservatives are in a statistical tie heading into the federal election on October 21.

An Ipsos poll found that the Conservatives, led by Andrew Scheer, would receive 35% of the vote if the election was held today, while Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party would receive 33%.

The Conservatives lost two percentage points since a July Ipsos poll as the Liberals gained two points, putting both within the poll’s 3.5-point margin of error. Jagmeet Singh and the New Democratic Party (NDP), which sits to the left of the Liberals, garnered 18%, a figure unchanged from July. The Green Party, led by Elizabeth May, would receive 9%, up two points since last month.

Ipsos noted that the Liberals and Conservatives were tied among women at 33%, with the NDP in third at 21%. The Conservatives have a five-point lead among Canadian men at 33%, while the NDP lags behind at 14%.

A separate Leger poll, published last week, found that the Conservatives and Liberals are in a dead heat, with both sitting at 33% support nationally. Leger’s results found 13% support for the Greens, and only 9% for the NDP.

Ipsos polled Canadians between August 16-19.